Monday, March 14, 2005

PalmOne and PocketPC=death

Recently, rumoured pictures of a PalmOne Treo running a version of Windows CE have caused a craze in Palm OS forums and polls. This is the end of the Palm OS/the Treo line/whatever.
Actually, I beleive that it will only end the PalmOne Treo success story! PalmOne has recently produced devices with lots of hardware flaws-may it be "el cheapo" rivets, hissing screens, non-working sliders, bad cameras, etc-I cannot remeber a flawless PalmOne handheld that didn't need a patch or that didn't have some kind of hardware bug.
The reason why the company gets away with this-they are the only Palm OS manufacturer that is available worldwide and that was more than one or two devices (forget Tapwave on that one until they have a small business machine). But PalmOne definitely won't be the only PocketPC smartphone maker!
Thus, there are three possibilities:
PalmOne improves build quality with Dell's help
Most users know Dell for solid, well-working products. If PalmOne is really working together with Dell on this one, the engineers of the latter company will definitely attempt to give their child a bit of the Dell precision. PalmOne's engineering guys will hopefuly learn more about engineering there(hopefully they include riveting connections;-)), and this knowledge should flow into the Palm OS devices too.
PalmOne produces a usual Treo with WinCE
If this happens-olay. Palmone will not be able to score a single point with this one, and it will possibly stop the rest of the Treo's dead in the water too. But I bet that PalmOne's management knows this too-and thus will not want to take any risks!
All of this is a hoax
Recently TamsPalm talked about how the TE2 might just have been an test for customer reactions. Who knows if this isn't another one?
Each of the possibilties is plausible somehow, but also has something against it. Dell definitely wouldn't want to help one of its fiercest competitors. Also, they definitely don't need PalmOne's help in getting a Palm OS handheld working. PalmOne itself has proven stupid many times, but who knows-everyone eventually learns his lesson!

Regardless of what happens-TamsPalm will keep you informed! What do you beleive?

5 Comments:

Anonymous Steven Fisher said...

It's kind of funny.

I see either PalmOne or PalmSource as becoming irrelevent within a few years. The Palm idea is not too big for one company.

Here's what's happening:
PalmSource is rapidly redeveloping their technology. Cobalt is replacing Garnet, Linux gradually replacing their custom kernel for new hardware, and reportedly SyncML replacing HotSync. In short, PalmSource is starting to develop some interesting technology. It's a revolutionary approach.
PalmOne, on the other hand, is patching Garnet with new features. They're sticking with the same basic hardware, but putting some interesting stuff in it. This stuff is all being implemented as patches on Garnet. It's an evolutionary approach.

Clearly, they are very different approaches. And I don't think they'll survive well long term.

Eventually, Cobalt will win or lose the day. It seems PalmOne is not interested in building a Cobalt device, so if Cobalt wins it will probably be PalmSource and another licensee that get the win. If Cobalt continues to fail, PalmOne will either continue with patches on Garnet or eventually switch to Pocket PC -- and Pocket PC is not so bad a software platform that PalmOne couldn't fix it. Look what they've done to Garnet in the last year!

Simplistic? Yeah, sure. There are a lot of other things that can happen. But most of them end with PalmOne or PalmSource being victorious. Not both.

10:55 PM  
Anonymous Steven Fisher said...

It's kind of funny.

I see either PalmOne or PalmSource as becoming irrelevent within a few years. The Palm idea is not too big for one company.

Here's what's happening:
PalmSource is rapidly redeveloping their technology. Cobalt is replacing Garnet, Linux gradually replacing their custom kernel for new hardware, and reportedly SyncML replacing HotSync. In short, PalmSource is starting to develop some interesting technology.
PalmOne, on the other hand, is patching Garnet with new features. They're sticking with the same basic hardware, but putting some interesting stuff in it. This stuff is all being implemented as patches on Garnet.

Clearly, they are very different approaches. And I don't think they'll survive well long term.

Eventually, Cobalt will win or lose the day. It seems PalmOne is not interested in building a Cobalt device, so if Cobalt wins it will probably be PalmSource and another licensee that get the win. If Cobalt continues to fail, PalmOne will either continue with patches on Garnet or eventually switch to Pocket PC -- and Pocket PC is not so bad a software platform that PalmOne couldn't fix it. Look what they've done to Garnet in the last year!

Simplistic? Yeah, sure. There are a lot of other things that can happen. But most of them end with PalmOne or PalmSource being victorious. Not both.

10:57 PM  
Anonymous Steven Fisher said...

One other comment...

Dell has absolutely terrible product quality. What Dell does have by most accounts is responsive support.

Personally, I've never bought Dell and don't plan to.

11:19 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Good blog Tam, I caught onto it from Palm Addict. Stephen I agree with you about Dell.

11:20 AM  
Blogger Tam Hanna said...

Hi,
with image specialists working on the screenshots, there is little more to say. Looks as if it were Windows CE indeed....
Best regards and thanks for talking back
Tam Hanna

10:04 PM  

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