Sunday, March 06, 2005

First cobalt device==Licence for printing cash

We all anticipate the release of the first Cobalt powered smartphone or handheld. However, different people have different views about the success it will have on the market. Some beleive that it will fail miserably because most people will wait, while other people predict terrible sales in the first week. I belong to the second group-IMHO the machine will sell way faster than the V series.
Well, there are two groups of users that will really jump on the machine:
Developers
developers always need to ensure that their app works well with the latest versions of the Palm OS. Since OS5, Simulator testing alone is no more sufficient(ARMlets cannot be tested in the emulator, etc)-real devices are needed. And here lies the potential of the first devices-the developers will buy one or more in order to allow testing, etc.
Enthusiasts
Well, we know this group too well. These are the people who want to always have the latest stuff-and Cobalt will definitely be cool for them. Some members of this group even buy the IMHO way to expensive Pentium 4 Extreme editions and other crap... . So-a Cobalt handheld will definitely be good value to them!
Lets conclude for now-there seems to be a nice amount of market area for the new device. Also, think of the enormous amount of free advertising it would get-reviews would be written, and the licencee would be celebrated. So, I see nothing to loose here-and you....
Something else-TamsPalm is currently moving away from Blogger to the Tamoggemon Homepage. The migration is basically done, I am currently in the process of writing a new theme and stylesheet! Tune into the process at http://www.tamoggemon.com/wordpress/

5 Comments:

Anonymous Steven Fisher said...

It could also be the Powerbook 5300 of the Palm world, whether due to hardware or software.

7:51 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Developers and enthusiasts are a very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very small part of the overall userbase.

Did I mention that they were a very small part?

11:03 AM  
Blogger Tam Hanna said...

Hi,
but well-if you have develioper and enthusiast support-usually users will get going pretty soon....
Thank you all for commenting
Tam Hanna

7:12 PM  
Blogger Tom Frauenhofer said...

The answer is really it depends. If they do a lousy job with respect to the overall usability of the phone then only the die-hard types mentioned above will want it. If they do a good job with respect to usability they'll get more users. If it is a smartphone and they get several large carriers to use it, more users. If it's priced cheaper than the Treo, then even more.

Hey, if it REALLY was a license to print cash I'd try to figure out how to run the printing press ;-).

3:04 PM  
Blogger Tam Hanna said...

Hi,
of course every product can be killed with bad marketing....
We saw that with BlackBerry vs Palm.net and many other cases!
Best regards
Tam Hanna

5:54 PM  

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